{"id":1224,"date":"2016-12-17T02:51:00","date_gmt":"2016-12-17T08:51:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/random-musings.org\/?p=1224"},"modified":"2025-04-11T23:57:52","modified_gmt":"2025-04-12T05:57:52","slug":"conspiracy-theories","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/random-musings.org\/index.php\/2016\/12\/17\/conspiracy-theories\/","title":{"rendered":"Conspiracy Theories"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"300\" height=\"196\" src=\"http:\/\/random-musings.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Bielefeld-300x196-1.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1226\"\/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-center has-medium-font-size\">Bielefeld<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">Conspiracy theories strike me as an attempt to hold on to a cherished idea when there is insufficient evidence to support it. Rather than consider that the idea is wrong, a person clings to it and invents reasons to explain the lack of evidence.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<!--more-->\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">There seems to be a fairly well-defined sequences of steps. A person conceives of some notion. He finds that there isn\u2019t enough evidence to support the notion. However, he just knows it\u2019s true; so if there isn\u2019t enough evidence, it is because the evidence has been hidden or destroyed, usually because someone is \u201cafraid\u201d of the truth coming out; or else, greedy factions who want to maintain their profitable arrangement. Or whatever.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">The problem with conspiracy theories is lack of evidence. There is the original lack of evidence for the notion being preserved; but there is a lack of evidence for the existence of the conspiracy. Obviously \u2013 it\u2019s a conspiracy. It\u2019s hidden; the evidence is hidden, in order to preserve the secret.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">In the spirit of <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Occam%27s_razor\">Occam\u2019s Razor<\/a>, I dismiss conspiracy theories. They are complicated attempts to explain a lack of sufficient evidence for a claim. A lack of evidence is just that \u2013 a lack of evidence. It isn\u2019t important why there is a lack; if it\u2019s not there, then the claim is unsupported. Explaining the lack of evidence for a claim does not support the claim. Even clearly demonstrating a conspiracy doesn\u2019t validate the claim, because the evidence that has been suppressed might still not have been sufficient to support it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">So without evidence, there is no basis for considering a claim. So I don\u2019t.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">There is a satirical conspiracy theory that helps to illustrate some of the objections to such theories. It\u2019s known as the <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Bielefeld_conspiracy\">Bielefeld Conspiracy<\/a>. The gist of it is the claim that there\u2019s no such place as Bielefeld, Germany. To support this claim, the proponent will point out that you\u2019ve never been to Bielefeld; that you\u2019ve never met someone from Bielefeld; therefore, the place doesn\u2019t exist. If someone does claim to know the town, then he is obviously part of the conspiracy, and should be ignored. If there are maps showing its location, those are also part of the conspiracy. There is no way to show that Bielefeld actually exists, that can\u2019t be dismissed as being part of the conspiracy..<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bielefeld Conspiracy theories strike me as an attempt to hold on to a cherished idea when there is insufficient evidence to support it. Rather than consider that the idea is wrong, a person clings to it and invents reasons to &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/random-musings.org\/index.php\/2016\/12\/17\/conspiracy-theories\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[31],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1224","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-social-commentary"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/random-musings.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1224","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/random-musings.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/random-musings.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/random-musings.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/random-musings.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1224"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/random-musings.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1224\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1228,"href":"https:\/\/random-musings.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1224\/revisions\/1228"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/random-musings.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1224"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/random-musings.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1224"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/random-musings.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1224"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}