{"id":1229,"date":"2020-10-22T02:16:00","date_gmt":"2020-10-22T08:16:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/random-musings.org\/?p=1229"},"modified":"2025-04-12T00:07:53","modified_gmt":"2025-04-12T06:07:53","slug":"the-dunning-kruger-effect","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/random-musings.org\/index.php\/2020\/10\/22\/the-dunning-kruger-effect\/","title":{"rendered":"The Dunning-Kruger Effect"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

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Briefly, the Dunning-Kruger<\/a> (DK) effect is the erroneous self-assessment of skill, knowledge, or other qualities in a field that is not the person\u2019s area of expertise. This can be laymen grappling with an unfamiliar discipline, or experts who have strayed from their own fields into others. The DK effect is partly due to the person not knowing enough to understand the difficulties and complexities of the unfamiliar field.<\/p>\n\n\n

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\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

From xkcd.com<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n

Examples of this effect are numerous. Most discussions of scientific topics suffer from the DK effect. This is why we find so many oversimplified and contradictory expositions about quantum or relativistic physics, global climate change, alternate energy sources, the environment, health, law, and so on. The author\u2019s grasp of the topic is weak, his awareness of counter-arguments limited, and his conclusions without merit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The DK effect often leads to spurious explanations of why mainstream experts don\u2019t agree with the lay author\u2019s ideas. The experts are too rigid or stubborn or stupid to recognize the incomparable beauty of the author\u2019s theories. Or there is some conspiracy \u2013 Big Oil, Big Pharma, The Government, The Greys \u2013 whoever They are, They\u2019re trying to suppress the truth for some reason. And so on. The author never seems to consider the possibility that he\u2019s wrong.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

It\u2019s a near certainty that the author is full of shit. The likelihood that he\u2019s made a new discovery are about the same as winning the lottery. Given those odds, it\u2019s reasonable for experts to ignore laymen who don\u2019t know the subject..<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Briefly, the Dunning-Kruger (DK) effect is the erroneous self-assessment of skill, knowledge, or other qualities in a field that is not the person\u2019s area of expertise. This can be laymen grappling with an unfamiliar discipline, or experts who have strayed … Continue reading →<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[31],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1229","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-social-commentary"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/random-musings.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1229","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/random-musings.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/random-musings.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/random-musings.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/random-musings.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1229"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/random-musings.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1229\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1233,"href":"https:\/\/random-musings.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1229\/revisions\/1233"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/random-musings.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1229"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/random-musings.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1229"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/random-musings.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1229"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}